Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 42¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $511 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$511 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $10 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $77 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?Champions League | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $55 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $83 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump out as President by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Military action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Joel ÁlvarezResolved | $600 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $200 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $340 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$340 |