← Whale Watch

aliiz

Predicting since May 20251,366 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.2K on Politics markets since May 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$33073¢73¢-$3
Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?PoliticsNo$13774¢88¢+$27
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?TechNo$9254¢81¢+$44
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11553¢61¢+$15
Will Devin Pooré advance to the general election for WA-04?PoliticsNo$9779¢95¢+$20
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?PoliticsNo$10448¢54¢+$13
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$7171¢87¢+$16
Will Zac Rossi advance to the general election for WA-04?PoliticsNo$7791¢98¢+$6
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?OtherNo$7056¢65¢+$11
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureNo$7248¢53¢+$8
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?TechNo$9376¢65¢-$14
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 49.0 and 49.9 in July?EconomyNo$8091¢90¢-$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?PoliticsNo$7878¢79¢+$1
Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05?PoliticsYes$7570¢68¢-$3
Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$6687¢93¢+$5
Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsNo$4962¢90¢+$22
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureNo$5944¢50¢+$8
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?CultureNo$6969¢62¢-$7
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureNo$4133¢45¢+$14
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?CultureNo$5191¢98¢+$4
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$4869¢76¢+$4
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$5170¢72¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$4560¢64¢+$3
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?TechNo$4794¢95¢+$1
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?CultureNo$4167¢78¢+$7
Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026?TechNo$4274¢81¢+$4
Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$3980¢91¢+$6
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?CultureYes$415.9¢6.4¢+$3
Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$4187¢92¢+$2
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$4068¢72¢+$3
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?CultureYes$7980¢43¢-$37
Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$3871¢79¢+$4
Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?TechNo$3054¢74¢+$11
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYes$3989¢93¢+$2
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?TechNo$3644¢49¢+$4
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?TechYes$3774¢79¢+$2
Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$3787¢90¢+$1
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in July?EconomyNo$3484¢90¢+$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$4162¢56¢-$4
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?CultureYes$3956¢53¢-$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2416¢24¢+$12
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?PoliticsNo$2660¢83¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$3072¢86¢+$6
Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?TechNo$3952¢45¢-$5
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$2415¢20¢+$8
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?OtherYes$4255¢43¢-$9
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?EconomyNo$2865¢75¢+$4
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?CultureYes$2148¢69¢+$9
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?PoliticsYes$3949¢38¢-$9
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?PoliticsYes$2869¢72¢+$1
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?CultureYes$3045¢43¢-$2
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureNo$3060¢57¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2878¢77¢-$1
Will James Ho be the next Supreme Court nominee?PoliticsNo$2263¢77¢+$5
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2565¢71¢+$2
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$21.1¢17¢+$25
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$2490¢99¢+$3
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2074¢98¢+$7
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$1753¢83¢+$9
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$2168¢87¢+$5
USMCA extended in 2026?PoliticsNo$2155¢67¢+$5
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?EconomyUp$2476¢76¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?PoliticsYes$2263¢69¢+$2
Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureNo$2357¢60¢+$1
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?EconomyYes$1555¢89¢+$9
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$2171¢81¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$1937¢43¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$1836¢43¢+$3
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?TechYes$2215¢14¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?PoliticsYes$2050¢53¢+$1
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1667¢89¢+$5
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$2760¢45¢-$7
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$2244¢40¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$1670¢87¢+$4
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?PoliticsYes$2118¢17¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1676¢85¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$2373¢57¢-$5
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsYes$1651¢56¢+$2
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureYes$1678¢88¢+$2
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?MentionsNo$1844¢43¢-$1
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?PoliticsNo$1577¢84¢+$1
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$169.7¢11¢+$1
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2029¢24¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$1363¢83¢+$4
Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?MentionsNo$1946¢40¢-$2
Will SZA perform at Coachella 2027?CultureNo$2272¢54¢-$6
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$1469¢81¢+$2
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$173.4¢3.2¢-$1
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?PoliticsYes$1818¢16¢-$3
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?TechNo$1366¢76¢+$2
Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05?PoliticsNo$1669¢65¢-$1
Will DJ Khaled perform at Coachella 2027?CultureNo$2175¢53¢-$6
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$631¢74¢+$8
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?EconomyNo$1977¢56¢-$5
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?PoliticsYes$921¢33¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?PoliticsNo$1469¢71¢+$0
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?PoliticsNo$1284¢99¢+$2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$1611¢9.5¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$1156¢72¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1176¢91¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.2K
Culture+$1.2K
Tech+$212
Economy+$175
Finance-$42
NFL+$7
Premier League-$5
World Cup+$4
Mentions-$4
Champions League+$3
Other+$3
Other sports+$2
Biggest hit
+$287
Will Future feature Lil Yachty on "The Real Me"?
Toughest beat
-$67
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$07m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?$814m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$024m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$038m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$057m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$02h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?$22h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$02h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "No No No" this week?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "No No No" this week?$52h ago