Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$11 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$9 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $153 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $44 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |