← Whale Watch

Polba

Predicting since Dec 202566 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsYesResolved$7533¢100¢+$152
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$357.0¢7.0¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$3087¢72¢-$5
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechYes$1817¢13¢-$4
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureYes$1023¢25¢+$1
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1095¢100¢+$1
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1095¢100¢+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$762¢92¢+$3
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$2412¢4.3¢-$15
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$564¢100¢+$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1236¢20¢-$5
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$361¢100¢+$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$546¢42¢-$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$834¢19¢-$4
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1016¢6.5¢-$6
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$383¢95¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$530¢20¢-$2
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$279¢100¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$283¢89¢+$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$35.0¢2.1¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$177¢87¢+$0
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?CryptoNoResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6432¢0.0¢-$64
Named storm forms before hurricane season?WeatherYesResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$1823¢0.0¢-$18
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$255¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$960¢0.0¢-$9
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?TechYesResolved$1239¢0.0¢-$12
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?CryptoYesResolved$368¢0.0¢-$3
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?WeatherNoResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$425¢0.0¢-$4
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Megaquake by December 31?WeatherYesResolved$788.0¢0.0¢-$78
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$58.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will a hurricane form by May 31?WeatherYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?WeatherYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6416¢0.0¢-$64

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$99
Crypto+$52
Politics+$23
World Cup-$14
Tech-$12
Formula 1-$10
Culture+$7
Economy-$3
Premier League+$3
Other sports+$0
Biggest hit
+$54
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Toughest beat
-$7
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?