pogb

Predicting since Feb 20264,096 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.6K on Crypto markets since Feb 2026.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?Culture	No	$158	79¢	78¢	-$3
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$126	63¢	59¢	-$9
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?Mentions	Yes	$113	58¢	47¢	-$22
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?Culture	Yes	$116	29¢	22¢	-$30
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics	Yes	$60	66¢	64¢	-$2
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?eSports	Yes	$59	32¢	27¢	-$10
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$54	27¢	24¢	-$7
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture	No	$50	34¢	31¢	-$4
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Finance	Yes	$54	40¢	30¢	-$14
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech	Yes	$51	27¢	21¢	-$12
Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance	Yes	$45	28¢	22¢	-$11
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics	No	$31	70¢	69¢	-$0
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics	Yes	$33	47¢	38¢	-$6
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics	No	$30	20¢	18¢	-$3
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics	No	$26	14¢	14¢	-$1
Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Politics	No	$35	19¢	9.5¢	-$18
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$16	55¢	54¢	-$0
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?Culture	No	$44	43¢	14¢	-$30
Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions	No	$27	19¢	9.5¢	-$14
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$22	22¢	14¢	-$9
Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Politics	No	$32	50¢	18¢	-$21
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other)	Yes	$19	19¢	9.5¢	-$10
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy	Yes	$9	29¢	23¢	-$2
Will Gary Cordery win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election?Politics	No	$10	28¢	19¢	-$3
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?Mentions	Yes	$7	27¢	25¢	-$1
Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$33	27¢	4.5¢	-$28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$3	72¢	76¢	+$0
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?Culture	No	$1	48¢	94¢	+$1
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Politics	No	$2	90¢	93¢	+$0
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics	No	$1	67¢	79¢	+$0
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	44¢	42¢	-$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics	Yes	$1	43¢	48¢	+$0
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Politics	No	$1	44¢	100¢	+$1
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLB	Yes	$1	27¢	27¢	-$0
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$1	62¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday?eSports	YesResolved	$31	21¢	0.0¢	-$31

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$2.6K

Culture-$69

Politics-$46

eSports-$41

Boxing-$38

Mentions-$36

Tech-$33

Olympics-$19

Economy+$14

Finance-$13

Soccer (other)-$10

NFL+$4

Biggest hit

+$278

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Toughest beat

-$163

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$151s ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$14m ago
Sold No · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$512m ago
Sold No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$1524m ago
Sold Yes · Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?$1056m ago
Bought Yes · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1261h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?$541h ago
Sold No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$11h ago
Sold No · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01h ago
Bought Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$561h ago
Bought Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$601h ago
Sold No · Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$12h ago