← Whale Watch

23449

Predicting since Apr 2026391 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $162K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $5.7K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$34K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.1K14¢43¢+$6.6K
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2.1K46¢49¢+$158
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1.6K24¢20¢-$315
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.3K22¢5.5¢-$1.7K
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$19913¢14¢+$9
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63025¢6.5¢-$468
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$26953¢28¢-$125
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$15020¢14¢-$41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$11446¢32¢-$36
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$869.3¢6.9¢-$23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$4019.4¢0.8¢-$367
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$6573¢29¢-$40
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$36824¢1.5¢-$346
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsYes$16124¢1.9¢-$148
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$178.7¢5.3¢-$7
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$18415¢0.4¢-$179
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20924¢0.4¢-$206
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3.2K15¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3877.4¢0.0¢-$387
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$83414¢0.0¢-$834
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$66765¢0.0¢-$667
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$133.0¢0.0¢-$13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$17935¢0.0¢-$179
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5032¢0.0¢-$50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2227¢0.0¢-$22
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2955.3¢0.0¢-$295
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36712¢0.0¢-$367
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20020¢0.0¢-$200
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$444.9¢0.0¢-$44
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$4614.4¢0.0¢-$461
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?FinanceDownResolved$42133¢0.0¢-$421
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15328¢0.0¢-$153
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$98612¢0.0¢-$986
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$39520¢0.0¢-$395
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$85010¢0.0¢-$850
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2368.6¢0.0¢-$236
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.1K1.9¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K19¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$255.7¢0.0¢-$25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1425¢0.0¢-$14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?FinanceDownResolved$2483.9¢0.0¢-$248
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$247.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$23211¢0.0¢-$232
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$2911¢0.0¢-$29
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$404.0¢0.0¢-$40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9?FinanceUpResolved$1148.0¢0.0¢-$114
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$547.7¢0.0¢-$54
Iran leadership change by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$141.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2.3K57¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$505.7¢0.0¢-$50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1241.5¢0.0¢-$124
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4310¢0.0¢-$43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3.5K14¢0.0¢-$3.5K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$5073.6¢0.0¢-$507
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$240.8¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$757.0¢0.0¢-$75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K17¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$6434¢0.0¢-$64
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$14412¢0.0¢-$144
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5618.3¢0.0¢-$561
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$132.6¢0.0¢-$13
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$2687.3¢0.0¢-$268
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$19821¢0.0¢-$198
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1366.5¢0.0¢-$136
Ebola case in the US by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$10712¢0.0¢-$107
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?PoliticsYesResolved$9811¢0.0¢-$98
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4521¢0.0¢-$45
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3537.0¢0.0¢-$353
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1415.4¢0.0¢-$141
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$3306.0¢0.0¢-$330
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3410¢0.0¢-$34
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$38313¢0.0¢-$383
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2625.4¢0.0¢-$262
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6611¢0.0¢-$66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?FinanceYesResolved$726.2¢0.0¢-$72
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2731¢0.0¢-$27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$4412¢0.0¢-$44
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K22¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$61.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?FinanceYesResolved$11548¢0.0¢-$115
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$86616¢0.0¢-$866
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4.2K7.1¢0.0¢-$4.2K
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$195.7¢0.0¢-$19
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$34034¢0.0¢-$340
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?FinanceDownResolved$18317¢0.0¢-$183
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.5K3.0¢0.0¢-$1.5K
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?FinanceUpResolved$16145¢0.0¢-$161
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?FinanceDownResolved$261.0¢0.0¢-$26

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$162K
Finance+$15K
World Cup-$4.1K
Crypto+$3.7K
Tech+$2.9K
eSports+$1.8K
Weather-$299
Tennis-$278
Mentions-$57
Culture+$2
Biggest hit
+$34K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.0K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$1.1K6d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1.3K7d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$4187d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$998d ago
  • Sold Yes · US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?$6312d ago
  • Bought Yes · US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?$4712d ago
  • Bought Yes · US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?$12912d ago
  • Bought Yes · US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?$5512d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$15013d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$7513d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$217d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$7.3K17d ago