gmacdonald

Predicting since Nov 2024116 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $4.2K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$270	54¢	83¢	+$142
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League	No	$266	48¢	43¢	-$31
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$54	68¢	90¢	+$18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$280	52¢	13¢	-$213
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$34	1.6¢	1.1¢	-$12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 23?Finance	UpResolved	$39	40¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?Crypto	YesResolved	$7	33¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 5?Weather	YesResolved	$10	10¢	0.0¢	-$10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$2.7K	61¢	0.0¢	-$2.7K
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?Finance	UpResolved	$32	29¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League	NoResolved	$990	33¢	0.0¢	-$990
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$58	32¢	0.0¢	-$58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on February 4?Weather	YesResolved	$8	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	YesResolved	$96	96¢	0.0¢	-$96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$40	41¢	0.0¢	-$40
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$154	77¢	0.0¢	-$154
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2.3K	76¢	0.0¢	-$2.3K
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 4?Weather	YesResolved	$11	11¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$102	38¢	0.0¢	-$102
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?Finance	UpResolved	$97	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$97
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 3?Weather	YesResolved	$30	30¢	0.0¢	-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$324	54¢	0.0¢	-$324
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 4?Weather	YesResolved	$17	17¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$71	18¢	0.0¢	-$71
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	YesResolved	$37	74¢	0.0¢	-$37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1.9K	89¢	0.0¢	-$1.9K
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?Weather	YesResolved	$18	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?Tech	NoResolved	$231	42¢	0.0¢	-$231
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$41	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?Economy	YesResolved	$23	10¢	0.0¢	-$23
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup	EnglandResolved	$100	54¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$137	25¢	0.0¢	-$137
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$67	84¢	0.0¢	-$67

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.2K

Premier League-$1.0K

Tech+$843

World Cup+$391

Finance-$177

Crypto-$143

Economy-$120

Weather-$80

Mentions+$51

Culture+$5

NFL+$3

Biggest hit

+$1.2K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$100

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$4.6K5d ago
Bought No · Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$2717d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2867d ago
Bought No · Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?$5518d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2701mo ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.8K1mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$351mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5141mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4031mo ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.2K1mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2662mo ago