← Whale Watch

AdolfCrittler

Predicting since Jan 2026184 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsYes$4744¢21¢-$25
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$552¢51¢-$0
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsYes$520¢9.6¢-$3
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?PoliticsYes$311¢8.5¢-$1
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?eSportsYes$521¢8.1¢-$3
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$317¢7.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?PoliticsYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$432¢0.0¢-$4
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$456¢0.0¢-$4
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$368¢0.0¢-$3
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1927¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureYesResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?PoliticsYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?PoliticsYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?CultureYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike Somalia next?PoliticsNoResolved$717¢0.0¢-$7
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?PoliticsYesResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$738¢0.0¢-$7
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2069¢0.0¢-$20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$429¢0.0¢-$4
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Other sportsNoResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$926¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$23.5¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$368¢0.0¢-$3
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1035¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$274¢0.0¢-$2
Another US bank failure by February 28?EconomyYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Will MrBeast's latest video get 22–24 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$269¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike Syria in March?PoliticsYesResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$635¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$346¢0.0¢-$3
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$924¢0.0¢-$9
US strike on Cuba by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$89.7¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$68
eSports-$65
World Cup-$43
Other sports-$29
Weather+$27
Tech+$13
Culture-$10
Crypto-$8
Economy-$4
Mentions-$3
Biggest hit
+$101
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Toughest beat
-$26
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$016d ago