Vague-Sightseeing

Predicting since Mar 202381 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Politics	YesResolved	$40	29¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will Meta reach $730 in February?Finance	YesResolved	$124	25¢	0.0¢	-$124
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics	YesResolved	$11	11¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Tech	YesResolved	$11	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$11
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$16	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$20	34¢	0.0¢	-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Politics	YesResolved	$11	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$3	50¢	0.0¢	-$3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech	NoResolved	$2	24¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Politics	YesResolved	$11	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$10	13¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Politics	NoResolved	$12	30¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$25	24¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Politics	YesResolved	$3	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Tech	NoResolved	$21	23¢	0.0¢	-$21
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$11	16¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Crypto	NoResolved	$9	15¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?Politics	YesResolved	$23	9.9¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?Culture	NoResolved	$20	40¢	0.0¢	-$20
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Politics	YesResolved	$58	16¢	0.0¢	-$58
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?Politics	YesResolved	$5	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$26	43¢	0.0¢	-$26
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?Tech	YesResolved	$7	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$25	11¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$40	13¢	0.0¢	-$40
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?Politics	YesResolved	$5	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Politics	NoResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?Politics	NoResolved	$20	40¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Tech	YesResolved	$29	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$215

Finance-$169

Tech+$130

UFC / MMA-$69

Other+$51

NFL+$50

Premier League-$43

Crypto-$40

Champions League+$28

Culture-$19

MLB-$15

Olympics+$6

Biggest hit

+$238

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?

Toughest beat

-$90

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Meta reach $730 in February?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Meta reach $730 in February?$1287mo ago
Sold No · Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?$157mo ago
Bought No · Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?$157mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?$337mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?$367mo ago
Sold No · Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1167mo ago
Bought No · Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1107mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?$1157mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?$347mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?$1707mo ago