from00

Predicting since Aug 202628 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $502 riding on Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics	No	$502	95¢	99¢	+$19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$200	65¢	66¢	+$2
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$200	94¢	66¢	-$59
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$100	22¢	28¢	+$25
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Economy	No	$100	58¢	62¢	+$5
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	78¢	82¢	+$5
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$100	49¢	51¢	+$5
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech	Yes	$100	47¢	48¢	+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$100	84¢	84¢	-$1
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	73¢	73¢	-$1
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics	Yes	$100	37¢	37¢	-$1
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	93¢	92¢	-$2
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	77¢	76¢	-$2
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech	No	$100	80¢	77¢	-$4
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Tech	No	$100	30¢	28¢	-$5
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$100	95¢	88¢	-$7
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?Mentions	Yes	$100	61¢	56¢	-$8
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Politics	No	$100	85¢	77¢	-$10
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	54¢	48¢	-$12
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	41¢	35¢	-$16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Crypto	Yes	$100	87¢	70¢	-$19
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$100	86¢	67¢	-$22
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics	Yes	$100	12¢	3.7¢	-$69
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy	Yes	$20	5.7¢	5.9¢	+$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$20	1.3¢	1.1¢	-$2
Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$10	11¢	16¢	+$5
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics	Yes	$100	27¢	3.8¢	-$86
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	14¢	14¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$155

Tech-$82

Crypto-$19

Mentions-$8

Economy+$6

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1001h ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?$1021h ago
Bought No · Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?$1031h ago
Bought No · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$1011h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$1001h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$1001h ago
Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$1011h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?$1012h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?$1002h ago
Bought Yes · Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$1012h ago
Bought Yes · Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$1022h ago
Bought Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?$1022h ago