← Whale Watch

JustCrazy

Predicting since Nov 20252,273 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $71K on World Cup markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $24K across 22 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$60K on Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6.1K0.6¢0.4¢-$1.5K
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.5K0.7¢0.7¢-$253
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.0K0.6¢0.4¢-$2.1K
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.5K0.6¢0.4¢-$1.5K
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4.1K0.6¢0.3¢-$2.4K
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2.1K0.7¢0.5¢-$451
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.9K0.6¢0.3¢-$2.3K
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.3K0.6¢0.3¢-$1.9K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2.3K0.6¢0.4¢-$994
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.6K0.6¢0.3¢-$1.5K
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.7K0.6¢0.4¢-$722
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.7K0.5¢0.3¢-$873
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.0K0.6¢0.3¢-$1.2K
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.0K0.6¢0.1¢-$2.3K
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6810.7¢0.7¢-$49
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.3K0.3¢0.1¢-$713
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K0.3¢0.1¢-$609
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.4K0.4¢0.1¢-$845
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K0.4¢0.1¢-$704
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.7K0.5¢0.1¢-$1.2K
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.3K0.7¢0.3¢-$845
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$7280.7¢0.4¢-$261
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K0.4¢0.1¢-$737
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$3000.1¢0.1¢+$150
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2920.1¢0.1¢+$146
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2870.1¢0.1¢+$143
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2840.1¢0.1¢+$142
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2740.1¢0.1¢+$137
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2740.1¢0.1¢+$137
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.5K0.6¢0.1¢-$1.1K
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2730.1¢0.1¢+$137
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2720.1¢0.1¢+$136
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2690.1¢0.1¢+$135
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7990.1¢0.1¢-$399
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7980.1¢0.1¢-$399
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7700.1¢0.1¢-$385
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5460.2¢0.1¢-$163
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$9610.4¢0.1¢-$580
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2510.1¢0.1¢+$126
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7450.1¢0.1¢-$372
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2450.1¢0.1¢+$123
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$8820.6¢0.3¢-$514
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2390.1¢0.1¢+$119
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7070.1¢0.1¢-$353
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2310.1¢0.1¢+$116
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5300.7¢0.4¢-$190
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7320.1¢0.1¢-$398
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$6590.1¢0.1¢-$329
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K0.5¢0.1¢-$871
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$7820.1¢0.1¢-$463
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2120.1¢0.1¢+$105
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2090.1¢0.1¢+$105
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5930.7¢0.4¢-$296
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$4750.6¢0.4¢-$198
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1820.1¢0.1¢+$91
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1800.1¢0.1¢+$90
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$7430.7¢0.3¢-$478
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$9840.6¢0.1¢-$723
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$4900.1¢0.1¢-$245
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1560.1¢0.1¢+$78
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1550.1¢0.1¢+$78
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$4940.3¢0.1¢-$274
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5200.6¢0.3¢-$304
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5080.6¢0.3¢-$297
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$3710.1¢0.1¢-$185
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1100.1¢0.1¢+$55
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$3250.1¢0.1¢-$162
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$3790.6¢0.3¢-$221
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1020.1¢0.1¢+$51
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1690.2¢0.1¢-$28
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$870.1¢0.1¢+$43
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3620.7¢0.3¢-$233
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$840.1¢0.1¢+$42
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$930.1¢0.1¢+$16
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2130.1¢0.1¢-$106
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$650.1¢0.1¢+$33
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$3250.2¢0.1¢-$229
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$570.1¢0.1¢+$29
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1330.1¢0.1¢-$66
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1290.8¢0.4¢-$71
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1120.1¢0.1¢-$56
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$560.8¢0.8¢-$2
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$310.1¢0.1¢+$15
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1260.1¢0.1¢-$81
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$300.1¢0.1¢+$15
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$840.1¢0.1¢-$42
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1290.8¢0.3¢-$87
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1290.8¢0.3¢-$87
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1240.8¢0.3¢-$84
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$570.8¢0.5¢-$18
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$250.1¢0.1¢+$13
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$740.1¢0.1¢-$37
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$240.1¢0.1¢+$12
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$220.1¢0.1¢+$11
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$350.7¢0.7¢-$2
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.1¢0.1¢+$10
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$320.1¢0.1¢-$1
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.1¢0.1¢+$10
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$200.1¢0.1¢+$10
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$320.2¢0.1¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$71K
Politics+$50K
Formula 1-$13K
Economy+$11K
NBA-$3.9K
Soccer (other)+$3.2K
Tech+$2.3K
Premier League+$1.8K
Champions League-$1.4K
Tennis+$1.1K
NFL+$1.1K
Finance+$648
Biggest hit
+$60K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$134K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$044s ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$01m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$02m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$03m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$03m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$04m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$05m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$05m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$013m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$013m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$014m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$014m ago