Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics | NoResolved | $144 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
OpenAI acquired in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
OpenAI browser by September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |