← Whale Watch

dreivierteljaeger

Predicting since Jan 20262,243 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $19K on World Cup markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $52K across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$26K74¢79¢+$1.5K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$17K86¢94¢+$1.5K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$9.0K64¢87¢+$3.3K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$6.7K80¢78¢-$236
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2.1K86¢91¢+$117
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1.8K72¢83¢+$271
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$99089¢86¢-$37
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?CultureNo$15057¢86¢+$75
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$14748¢54¢+$16
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?CultureNo$5191¢99¢+$5
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?TechYes$2988¢95¢+$2
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$476¢98¢+$1
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?CultureYes$518¢4.0¢-$4
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1.2K80¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$43088¢0.0¢-$430
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$4.3K54¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$55060¢0.0¢-$550
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$561¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$11859¢0.0¢-$118
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$16063¢0.0¢-$160
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$5055¢0.0¢-$50
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$14031¢0.0¢-$140
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$3939¢0.0¢-$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$6578¢0.0¢-$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10073¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$10029¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$30777¢0.0¢-$307
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$12570¢0.0¢-$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10052¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$17386¢0.0¢-$173
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$27580¢0.0¢-$275
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3324¢0.0¢-$33
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$44943¢0.0¢-$449
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$5067¢0.0¢-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2517¢0.0¢-$25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5035¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNetherlandsResolved$22585¢0.0¢-$225
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3333¢0.0¢-$33
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSenegalResolved$1.8K90¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$15016¢0.0¢-$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2779¢0.0¢-$27
United States leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$7665¢0.0¢-$76
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?World CupYesResolved$15019¢0.0¢-$150
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$491.7¢0.0¢-$49
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?World CupYesResolved$10019¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2659¢0.0¢-$26
Will England win on 2026-07-01?World CupNoResolved$2.6K73¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$15091¢0.0¢-$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$15477¢0.0¢-$154
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2765¢0.0¢-$27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$10086¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15086¢0.0¢-$150
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$2448¢0.0¢-$24
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$5252¢0.0¢-$52
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$16482¢0.0¢-$164
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?World CupYesResolved$4646¢0.0¢-$46
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2067¢0.0¢-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$4646¢0.0¢-$46
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2557¢0.0¢-$25
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2958¢0.0¢-$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$20085¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5078¢0.0¢-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?CryptoYesResolved$6538¢0.0¢-$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10054¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5217¢0.0¢-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2639¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1220¢0.0¢-$12
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$43536¢0.0¢-$435
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$10061¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$42884¢0.0¢-$428
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEgyptResolved$40080¢0.0¢-$400
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$22059¢0.0¢-$220
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$19095¢0.0¢-$190
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$838¢0.0¢-$8
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2652¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$13286¢0.0¢-$132
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10070¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$19K
Politics+$5.0K
Crypto-$2.7K
Culture+$465
Economy-$236
Mentions-$149
Weather+$54
Formula 1-$37
Tech-$2
Biggest hit
+$523
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Toughest beat
-$6.9K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$21d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$21d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$01d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$211d ago