← Whale Watch

X-Rabbit.Sezu

Predicting since Dec 20251,181 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.8K on Crypto markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $1.7K riding on Which company has second best AI model end of July?.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1.7K98¢99¢+$23
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1.2K97¢97¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1.2K98¢99¢+$14
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1.2K99¢100¢+$10
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$79098¢100¢+$13
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$79399¢100¢+$8
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$69897¢98¢+$8
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$61895¢96¢+$6
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$70178¢65¢-$117
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$44098¢100¢+$5
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechNo$45379¢71¢-$47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$40882¢77¢-$25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$37398¢100¢+$6
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?TechNo$35294¢92¢-$7
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$23393¢96¢+$7
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$22398¢100¢+$4
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?TechYes$21070¢69¢-$2
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?TechNo$18083¢88¢+$10
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?PoliticsYes$18072¢76¢+$10
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechNo$17299¢99¢+$1
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$14996¢98¢+$2
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$12497¢99¢+$3
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?TechYes$9785¢85¢-$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$11381¢66¢-$21
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechYes$6061¢80¢+$19
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?TechYes$4214¢23¢+$24
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$5694¢99¢+$4
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$4998¢99¢+$0
Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$4599¢100¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?TechYes$2610¢17¢+$16
Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?TechNo$3990¢82¢-$3
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$1470¢74¢+$1
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?TechYes$31.0¢3.6¢+$7
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$51.8¢2.7¢+$3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?TechYes$55.0¢5.5¢+$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$32.6¢5.3¢+$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechNo$599¢99¢+$0
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?TechYes$224¢43¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?TechYes$112¢63¢+$2
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$10.3¢0.5¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$2.8K
Politics-$2.1K
Tech+$2.0K
eSports-$402
Economy+$333
NFL+$223
Olympics+$166
Culture-$162
Mentions-$62
Tennis+$29
Boxing-$8
Weather+$5
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Toughest beat
-$634
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$952m ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$2381h ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$391h ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$181h ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$91h ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$1531h ago
  • Bought No · Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$61h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$873h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$24h ago
  • Bought No · Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$304h ago