0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586

Predicting since Mar 2025464 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.1K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech	Yes	$133	66¢	87¢	+$41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics	Yes	$91	33¢	56¢	+$65
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics	No	$71	47¢	76¢	+$42
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics	No	$49	18¢	40¢	+$57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$71	59¢	86¢	+$32
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech	No	$94	59¢	63¢	+$6
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$133	25¢	18¢	-$38
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech	Yes	$101	69¢	63¢	-$10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics	No	$56	49¢	79¢	+$34
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech	No	$63	57¢	71¢	+$15
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$74	62¢	64¢	+$3
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Tech	No	$63	13¢	14¢	+$6
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$22	23¢	70¢	+$45
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$28	27¢	61¢	+$35
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?Tech	Yes	$52	16¢	20¢	+$11
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech	Yes	$46	68¢	90¢	+$15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$96	70¢	45¢	-$35
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Politics	No	$42	42¢	60¢	+$18
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Politics	No	$43	62¢	86¢	+$16
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$42	65¢	85¢	+$13
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics	No	$71	42¢	31¢	-$18
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$62	55¢	45¢	-$12
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$60	43¢	35¢	-$12
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Tech	Yes	$29	20¢	28¢	+$13
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$53	35¢	27¢	-$13
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$29	22¢	29¢	+$10
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics	No	$20	40¢	72¢	+$16
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$51	34¢	21¢	-$19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics	No	$35	39¢	31¢	-$7
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$41	11¢	6.5¢	-$16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics	No	$30	30¢	25¢	-$6
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$10	33¢	76¢	+$13
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	No	$37	41¢	26¢	-$14
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics	Yes	$28	17¢	8.5¢	-$14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	0.1¢	0.1¢	+$1
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$7	67¢	94¢	+$3
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$5	51¢	88¢	+$4
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?Crypto	Yes	$3	17¢	25¢	+$1
Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$30	15¢	0.0¢	-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.1K

World Cup-$162

Soccer (other)+$82

Economy-$65

Mentions-$60

Culture+$49

Tech+$48

Other+$30

NBA-$25

UFC / MMA+$23

La Liga+$19

Champions League-$18

Biggest hit

+$424

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Toughest beat

-$203

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?$686h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$09h ago
Sold No · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?$1099h ago
Sold No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?$10911h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$012h ago
Bought No · Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?$1112h ago