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JulianWilliams6111

Predicting since Oct 202553 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$14798¢100¢+$3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$7992¢100¢+$7
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse OrangeBasketball (other)Syracuse OrangeResolved$1849¢100¢+$19
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?WeatherNoResolved$1366¢100¢+$6
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$748¢100¢+$7
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$483¢100¢+$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$252¢100¢+$2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?PoliticsYesResolved$137¢100¢+$2
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$139¢100¢+$1
Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?TechNoResolved$173¢100¢+$1
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?WeatherYesResolved$276¢100¢+$0
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?PoliticsNoResolved$180¢100¢+$0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?WeatherNoResolved$188¢100¢+$0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechNoResolved$187¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$108.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?WeatherNoResolved$741¢0.0¢-$7
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse OrangeBasketball (other)Saint Josephs HawksResolved$651¢0.0¢-$6
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1142¢0.0¢-$11
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$261¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$751¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$678¢0.0¢-$6
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1184¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Other sportsNoResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherNoResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Will António José Seguro win the first round?PoliticsNoResolved$3168¢0.0¢-$31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$222.2¢0.0¢-$22
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?PoliticsYesResolved$024¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1439¢0.0¢-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1238¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$49
Mentions-$33
Crypto+$19
Basketball (other)+$13
Other sports-$4
Weather-$1
Tech+$1
Biggest hit
+$24
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Toughest beat
-$33
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16mo ago
  • Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16mo ago
  • Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16mo ago
  • Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$06mo ago
  • Sold No · Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$66mo ago
  • Bought No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$356mo ago
  • Bought No · Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$76mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$106mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$126mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$236mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$86mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$86mo ago