JulianWilliams6111

Predicting since Oct 202553 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$147	98¢	100¢	+$3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$79	92¢	100¢	+$7
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse OrangeBasketball (other)	Syracuse OrangeResolved	$18	49¢	100¢	+$19
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Weather	NoResolved	$13	66¢	100¢	+$6
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$7	48¢	100¢	+$7
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$4	83¢	100¢	+$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	52¢	100¢	+$2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?Politics	YesResolved	$1	37¢	100¢	+$2
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	39¢	100¢	+$1
Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$1	73¢	100¢	+$1
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$2	76¢	100¢	+$0
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?Politics	NoResolved	$1	80¢	100¢	+$0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Weather	NoResolved	$1	88¢	100¢	+$0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	NoResolved	$1	87¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	10¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	NoResolved	$10	8.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Weather	NoResolved	$7	41¢	0.0¢	-$7
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse OrangeBasketball (other)	Saint Joseph's HawksResolved	$6	51¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$11	42¢	0.0¢	-$11
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	61¢	0.0¢	-$2
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$7	51¢	0.0¢	-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$6	78¢	0.0¢	-$6
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$11	84¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Other sports	NoResolved	$4	38¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather	NoResolved	$1	37¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will António José Seguro win the first round?Politics	NoResolved	$31	68¢	0.0¢	-$31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$22	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?Politics	YesResolved	$0	24¢	0.0¢	-$0
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$14	39¢	0.0¢	-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$12	38¢	0.0¢	-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$49

Mentions-$33

Crypto+$19

Basketball (other)+$13

Other sports-$4

Weather-$1

Tech+$1

Biggest hit

+$24

XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Toughest beat

-$33

Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$18mo ago
Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$18mo ago
Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$18mo ago
Sold No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$08mo ago
Sold No · Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$68mo ago
Bought No · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$358mo ago
Bought No · Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$78mo ago
Sold No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$108mo ago
Sold No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$128mo ago
Bought No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$238mo ago
Sold No · Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$88mo ago
Sold No · Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$88mo ago