← Whale Watch

loinvest

Predicting since Nov 20241,418 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $6.4K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Israel military action against Iran before July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$2.0K99¢100¢+$17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$2.0K99¢100¢+$12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K80¢80¢-$5
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K97¢99¢+$33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$99099¢100¢+$9
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$96897¢100¢+$28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$76777¢94¢+$173
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$83583¢90¢+$60
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$48597¢100¢+$13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$48169¢68¢-$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$38154¢63¢+$56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$39278¢79¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$36184¢91¢+$30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$39579¢77¢-$13
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$31062¢68¢+$28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$55657¢31¢-$255
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$17085¢92¢+$13
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$3430.7¢0.4¢-$168
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16958¢55¢-$10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$40234¢13¢-$252
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14194¢92¢-$4
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11799¢99¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$12743¢34¢-$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$9595¢99¢+$4
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$30322¢6.5¢-$215
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$14627¢14¢-$72
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$740.6¢0.4¢-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$10836¢16¢-$60
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$29113¢1.9¢-$247
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3795¢99¢+$1
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3979¢76¢-$1
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$292.9¢2.1¢-$9
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?PoliticsNo$1873¢56¢-$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?PoliticsNo$1490¢90¢+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$773¢73¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$8.1K
Culture+$708
Weather+$387
Economy+$375
Tech+$298
Crypto-$127
Mentions+$24
Other+$19
Tennis-$10
NFL+$3
Soccer (other)-$2
Finance+$1
Biggest hit
+$1.5K
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Toughest beat
-$2.9K
Israel military action against Iran before July?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$564m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$744m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$134m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$11h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$41h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$41h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$101h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$62h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$72h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$12h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$3953h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$1363h ago