← Whale Watch

ManualMcdermottdd

Predicting since Oct 202594 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.0K on Crypto markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $2.0K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET.

Biggest hit: +$5.0K on Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1298¢100¢+$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?PoliticsNoResolved$191¢100¢+$0
Will the government shutdown end November 12?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢100¢+$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?EconomyNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?CryptoNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trump visit China by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Solana reach $350 in October?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will turnout be less than 66% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$199¢99¢+$0
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$197¢97¢+$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2.0K50¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2.0K50¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2.0K50¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$5.0K
Politics-$0
Tech+$0
Culture+$0
Economy+$0
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$5.0K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$16mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$16mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17mo ago