Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $6 | 55¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 71¢ | +$5 |
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $6 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 9.2¢ | -$1 |
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 55¢ | +$3 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $15 | 45¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 4.2¢ | -$9 |
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $9 | 60¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $5 | 31¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
Will Ryanair say "Weather" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "N Word" in January?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Medal" during NewsNation interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $7 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Ethereum be the top performing crypto for the week of February 23?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 5?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?eSports | YesResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Solana be the top performing crypto for the week of February 23?Crypto | NoResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?Premier League | YesResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Solana reach $150 January 12-18?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "Truth Social" in January?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Ryanair say "Nonstop" or "Non-Stop" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 5?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" during WEF Address on January 21?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?Mentions | YesResolved | $19 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump say "Ego" in January?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 5?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 11 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ryanair say "Union" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Valve remove Train from the Map Pool?eSports | NoResolved | $33 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Weather | NoResolved | $42 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 10–15 seconds?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of February 23?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)World Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "Putin" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | Cabo VerdeResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?eSports | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of January 5Finance | DownResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 5?Tech | NoResolved | $32 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of January 5?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Ryanair say "Starlink" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 7 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?Weather | NoResolved | $15 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 15 seconds or longer?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Denmark" during NewsNation interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |