 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?Finance | DownResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6.5m and 8m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?Crypto | DownResolved | $23 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $68 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $639 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$639 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $17 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will BlackRock say "ETF Inflow" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Trump say "Submarine" or "Helicopter" this week? (February 8)Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Hat" this week? (February 8)Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 3?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Sold Yes · Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$484mo ago
Sold No · Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$2855mo ago