 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $564 | 94¢ | 87¢ | -$42 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | Yes | $426 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$48 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $370 | 85¢ | 73¢ | -$52 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | Yes | $438 | 73¢ | 52¢ | -$129 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $258 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$8 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $271 | 82¢ | 74¢ | -$26 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $269 | 59¢ | 51¢ | -$37 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?Tech | No | $262 | 98¢ | 82¢ | -$43 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Politics | Yes | $300 | 50¢ | 36¢ | -$84 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $205 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $236 | 73¢ | 61¢ | -$40 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $378 | 63¢ | 32¢ | -$189 |
 Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?Politics | Yes | $200 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$12 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Culture | No | $204 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$30 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $181 | 87¢ | 76¢ | -$24 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $253 | 71¢ | 43¢ | -$101 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $206 | 46¢ | 34¢ | -$56 |
 Will Yandy Díaz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $136 | 97¢ | 93¢ | -$5 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 3.5%-4.5%?Finance | No | $124 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?NFL | Yes | $125 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$10 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $123 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$8 |
| Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $149 | 78¢ | 57¢ | -$39 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | Yes | $168 | 42¢ | 27¢ | -$60 |
 Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $185 | 98¢ | 56¢ | -$79 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $137 | 87¢ | 66¢ | -$33 |
 Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $109 | 94¢ | 89¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics | No | $122 | 94¢ | 77¢ | -$22 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $148 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$48 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?Other | No | $122 | 95¢ | 76¢ | -$25 |
| Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?Finance | No | $132 | 69¢ | 50¢ | -$36 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $103 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $146 | 81¢ | 52¢ | -$53 |
| Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $121 | 94¢ | 69¢ | -$31 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $94 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
 Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?MLB | No | $85 | 82¢ | 74¢ | -$9 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$14 |
 Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics | No | $82 | 90¢ | 79¢ | -$10 |
 OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 89¢ | 68¢ | -$19 |
| Will the Bills win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $71 | 54¢ | 41¢ | -$18 |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $90 | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$36 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | No | $56 | 83¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
| Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $74 | 49¢ | 34¢ | -$22 |
 Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $68 | 67¢ | 51¢ | -$17 |
 Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $49 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $59 | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$13 |
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | Yes | $84 | 40¢ | 21¢ | -$40 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | No | $41 | 63¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 62¢ | 51¢ | -$9 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $43 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $42 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | No | $43 | 69¢ | 60¢ | -$6 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $57 | 72¢ | 46¢ | -$21 |
 FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?Tech | Yes | $69 | 76¢ | 39¢ | -$33 |
 Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?MLB | No | $37 | 90¢ | 81¢ | -$4 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $66B?Finance | NoResolved | $28 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $42 | 67¢ | 53¢ | -$9 |
 Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | No | $34 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Landslide" this week?Mentions | No | $54 | 36¢ | 21¢ | -$23 |
 Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $59 | 39¢ | 21¢ | -$28 |
 Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $28 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?Culture | No | $96 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$70 |
| Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $28 | 93¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?MLB | U 99.5 | $26 | 33¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $27 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 37¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$22 |
| Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | No | $55 | 43¢ | 17¢ | -$33 |
| Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $33 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$12 |
| Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $59 | 10¢ | 3.5¢ | -$38 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $125 in July?Finance | Yes | $25 | 9.7¢ | 7.9¢ | -$5 |
 Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $22 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $26 | 9.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 60¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $16 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?Economy | No | $16 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 46¢ | 32¢ | -$7 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $16 | 54¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $19 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $20 | 64¢ | 43¢ | -$7 |
| Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #1 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $40 | 30¢ | 10¢ | -$26 |
 Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $60 | 10¢ | 2.1¢ | -$48 |
 Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
 Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $21 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | No | $15 | 28¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$9 |
 Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $10 | 95¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 11¢ | 6.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 10¢ | 6.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 5.0¢ | 3.3¢ | -$4 |
 Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
| Will Derek Shelton win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?MLB | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 3.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $14 | 29¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
| Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 20¢ | +$7 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $14 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 3.3¢ | -$14 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 25¢ | 4.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Weather | No | $39 | 26¢ | 3.8¢ | -$33 |
Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$123m ago
Sold Yes · Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? $113m ago
Sold No · Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$428m ago