 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 82¢ | +$39 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 78¢ | +$29 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 36¢ | +$15 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.6¢ | 48¢ | +$15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 3.8¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 35¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 85¢ | +$6 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 3.8¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?Weather | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title?MLB | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Dolphins end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $5 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?Culture | No | $3 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
| Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $3 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.9¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
| Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 10.0¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.0¢ | 22¢ | +$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $0 | 9.1¢ | 47¢ | +$2 |
| Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 10.5%-11.5%?Finance | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?Culture | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 7.7¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $2 | 33¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 5.3¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Culture | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $1 | 6.4¢ | 5.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $1 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 12?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 8?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 12?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $4 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on July 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or higher on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 23?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 24?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 24?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 23?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 20?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 21?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
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