0xdF4D7E570fF2F3b26bF8eBf7751C7f87610EaE18-1774650587057

Predicting since Mar 202657 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$10	91¢	95¢	+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	No	$10	80¢	85¢	+$1
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics	No	$9	79¢	84¢	+$1
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?Politics	No	$10	92¢	90¢	-$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	65¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	24¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	33¢	0.0¢	-$2
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5World Cup	OverResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$23	46¢	0.0¢	-$23
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Politics	NoResolved	$1	89¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	32¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	76¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	10¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	37¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$205

Politics+$52

Crypto-$2

Economy-$1

World Cup+$1

Finance+$1

Biggest hit

+$218

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$5

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?

Recent moves

Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?$1021h ago
Bought No · Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?$921h ago
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1021h ago
Bought No · Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?$1021h ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$51d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?$721d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$111d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?$181d ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?$201d ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?$201d ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?$101d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$1020d ago