 Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | No | $28 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will D'Andre Swift have 799.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $19 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 34¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will Caleb Williams have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
 Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 33¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
 Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | No | $7 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Premier League | No | $7 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?Other | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $9 | 49¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
 Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 36¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 3.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Martin Soukup be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Dickens Cheung win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 6.2¢ | -$4 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will Querétaro finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other) | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 2.3¢ | -$5 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $0 | 24¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 62¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $1 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMA | No | $1 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Matt Olson lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLB | No | $1 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 21¢ | 5.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ariana Grande's highest daily YouTube views be between 14M and 15M?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 31?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.0% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the White River at Indianapolis peak over 20 ft during the August 2026 floods?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?Other sports | YesResolved | $0 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 4?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 31?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?Finance | YesResolved | $16 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will UNI reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 3?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Monday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 31?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be 2-3 Rampages at The International 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 31?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jack Grealish join Everton?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of August 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Getafe qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?La Liga | NoResolved | $0 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
MERGE Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$2457m ago
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