AresCapital

Predicting since Jan 202626 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $1.4K riding on Who will Trump talk to in January?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$100	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	41¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Politics	YesResolved	$1.4K	29¢	0.0¢	-$1.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$42	47¢	0.0¢	-$42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$51	40¢	0.0¢	-$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$99	65¢	0.0¢	-$99
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Crypto	NoResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$52	18¢	0.0¢	-$52
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$75	62¢	0.0¢	-$75

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.6K

Finance+$482

Crypto-$175

Tech-$100

Biggest hit

+$470

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?

Toughest beat

-$100

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

Bought No · Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?$15mo ago
Sold No · Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$145mo ago
Bought Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$35mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$05mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$535mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$765mo ago
Bought No · Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$105mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$285mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$205mo ago