CakeIsLie

Predicting since Jan 202634 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$3	15¢	0.0¢	-$3
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	66¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	30¢	0.0¢	-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	23¢	0.0¢	-$2
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	33¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$14	35¢	0.0¢	-$14
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	62¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$12	35¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$8	49¢	0.0¢	-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	43¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	20¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$5	26¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	28¢	0.0¢	-$3
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$10	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	39¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$10	66¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$80

Formula 1-$9

Crypto-$4

Biggest hit

+$15

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$129d ago
Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$81mo ago
Bought Yes · Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$101mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$71mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$181mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$31mo ago
Bought No · US government shutdown Saturday?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$56mo ago
Bought No · No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$106mo ago