Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $20 | 67¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
2024 August hottest on record?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed rate cut by September 18?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Maduro out before September?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Hezbollah enters Israel in August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Megaquake in August?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |