Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $478 | 88¢ | 82¢ | -$33 |
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $458 | 76¢ | 74¢ | -$16 |
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Politics | No | $510 | 85¢ | 72¢ | -$78 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $432 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $434 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$8 |
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?Politics | No | $410 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $433 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$28 |
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $438 | 73¢ | 67¢ | -$36 |
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | Yes | $453 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$52 |
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?La Liga | Yes | $462 | 77¢ | 67¢ | -$63 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $409 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$11 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $399 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$8 |
Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $429 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$54 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?Finance | No | $387 | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$29 |
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Bundesliga | Yes | $380 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$25 |
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $366 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$17 |
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $355 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$8 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $339 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Politics | No | $392 | 88¢ | 76¢ | -$56 |
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $387 | 69¢ | 60¢ | -$53 |
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $388 | 73¢ | 63¢ | -$56 |
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?Economy | No | $498 | 83¢ | 55¢ | -$171 |
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics | No | $460 | 77¢ | 55¢ | -$133 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $321 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$9 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?Economy | No | $450 | 75¢ | 52¢ | -$138 |
Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $423 | 73¢ | 54¢ | -$113 |
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Politics | No | $426 | 71¢ | 51¢ | -$120 |
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | No | $319 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$14 |
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | No | $395 | 80¢ | 62¢ | -$90 |
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | Yes | $336 | 83¢ | 75¢ | -$34 |
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | Yes | $310 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$17 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $305 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$22 |
Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $267 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$11 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $282 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$8 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $301 | 83¢ | 73¢ | -$38 |
Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $289 | 82¢ | 75¢ | -$26 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | No | $310 | 73¢ | 62¢ | -$49 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $286 | 81¢ | 74¢ | -$26 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $291 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$32 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $293 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$35 |
Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Politics | No | $288 | 90¢ | 81¢ | -$30 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $294 | 83¢ | 73¢ | -$36 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $317 | 86¢ | 70¢ | -$59 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $317 | 88¢ | 71¢ | -$60 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $328 | 76¢ | 60¢ | -$71 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $264 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$8 |
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | No | $267 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$14 |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $292 | 86¢ | 75¢ | -$39 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $275 | 81¢ | 74¢ | -$24 |
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $249 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $262 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$15 |
Will California have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | Yes | $269 | 77¢ | 70¢ | -$24 |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $272 | 82¢ | 74¢ | -$28 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $281 | 83¢ | 72¢ | -$37 |
Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $334 | 83¢ | 61¢ | -$91 |
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?Weather | No | $274 | 90¢ | 80¢ | -$30 |
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | No | $283 | 82¢ | 71¢ | -$40 |
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $264 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$21 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $266 | 82¢ | 75¢ | -$24 |
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $275 | 79¢ | 70¢ | -$33 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $273 | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$32 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $289 | 76¢ | 63¢ | -$50 |
Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Champions League | Yes | $257 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$17 |
Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $261 | 74¢ | 68¢ | -$22 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $280 | 85¢ | 73¢ | -$41 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $284 | 82¢ | 69¢ | -$45 |
Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Bundesliga | No | $254 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$16 |
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics | No | $273 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$35 |
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Politics | No | $248 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$10 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $266 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$30 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?Economy | No | $232 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $284 | 85¢ | 69¢ | -$51 |
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $399 | 75¢ | 44¢ | -$166 |
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics | No | $392 | 81¢ | 48¢ | -$160 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $275 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$44 |
Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics | No | $282 | 80¢ | 66¢ | -$51 |
Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Politics | No | $289 | 71¢ | 56¢ | -$59 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $237 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$8 |
Will Anthony Lavoie win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $222 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $247 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$19 |
Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | No | $318 | 85¢ | 61¢ | -$90 |
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $245 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$18 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $254 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$29 |
Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Politics | No | $245 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$22 |
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | No | $284 | 71¢ | 56¢ | -$62 |
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $251 | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$30 |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Politics | No | $243 | 85¢ | 78¢ | -$21 |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?Politics | No | $256 | 81¢ | 70¢ | -$35 |
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?Culture | No | $264 | 88¢ | 74¢ | -$44 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Politics | No | $281 | 86¢ | 68¢ | -$60 |
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $253 | 81¢ | 71¢ | -$33 |
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?Other | No | $212 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$8 |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?Politics | No | $293 | 85¢ | 64¢ | -$74 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5%-10%?Politics | No | $261 | 86¢ | 72¢ | -$44 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $247 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$30 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $251 | 79¢ | 68¢ | -$35 |
Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $253 | 77¢ | 66¢ | -$38 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $212 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $263 | 85¢ | 70¢ | -$48 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?Politics | No | $230 | 76¢ | 71¢ | -$17 |