← Whale Watch

Bperil

Predicting since Aug 20241,590 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $1.3K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.4K on Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K83¢90¢+$91
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$95566¢84¢+$253
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$85044¢44¢-$14
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$67630¢36¢+$133
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$71499¢100¢+$8
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$67756¢59¢+$25
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYes$64287¢94¢+$46
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$65171¢65¢-$55
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$54579¢83¢+$28
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$54579¢81¢+$11
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$51273¢73¢+$1
Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$50092¢94¢+$9
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$37842¢43¢+$12
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28588¢96¢+$23
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$24074¢86¢+$39
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20568¢92¢+$69
Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?PoliticsYes$25097¢99¢+$3
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25073¢73¢-$2
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$20076¢91¢+$38
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$20082¢89¢+$17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21014¢14¢-$1
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$20088¢92¢+$8
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2105.3¢5.1¢-$5
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$20053¢53¢-$0
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?PoliticsYes$20074¢71¢-$9
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$14978¢96¢+$35
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$14681¢96¢+$25
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$14885¢97¢+$22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$16445¢43¢-$9
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsNo$13586¢97¢+$17
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?PoliticsYes$15098¢98¢+$1
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$15096¢96¢+$0
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$15093¢93¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$15031¢28¢-$17
Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$13099¢100¢+$1
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$13342¢41¢-$4
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$12073¢77¢+$7
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$12097¢95¢-$3
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$10588¢96¢+$10
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$10059¢68¢+$15
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$10788¢95¢+$8
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$11090¢93¢+$3
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$10089¢97¢+$9
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10053¢57¢+$8
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$10090¢93¢+$4
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsYes$10294¢94¢-$1
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$10074¢75¢+$1
Will Chaz Molder be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$10094¢94¢+$0
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$10033¢33¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10044¢44¢-$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$10095¢95¢-$1
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$10064¢63¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10024¢24¢-$4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10037¢36¢-$4
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8989¢94¢+$5
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$7794¢96¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8073¢69¢-$4
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?PoliticsNo$7091¢96¢+$4
Clavicular sentenced to prison?CultureNo$6585¢87¢+$1
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$6094¢100¢+$4
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$6094¢94¢+$0
Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$5698¢96¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?PoliticsYes$5052¢53¢+$1
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$4080¢100¢+$10
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5087¢87¢-$0
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$7074¢51¢-$22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$5040¢38¢-$3
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5032¢26¢-$9
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$459.5¢8.5¢-$5
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$3997¢97¢+$0
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsNo$3081¢99¢+$7
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$4082¢75¢-$3
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$3080¢92¢+$4
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?PoliticsYes$3090¢98¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$2626¢31¢+$5
Spain snap election called in 2026?PoliticsNo$2874¢81¢+$3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3096¢95¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2480¢94¢+$4
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$2594¢100¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?PoliticsYes$3054¢48¢-$4
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$2598¢99¢+$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$2566¢64¢-$1
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$101.0¢2.1¢+$11
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?PoliticsNo$2087¢91¢+$1
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?PoliticsNo$2085¢88¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?PoliticsYes$2088¢87¢-$0
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$842¢96¢+$11
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?PoliticsYes$2583¢56¢-$8
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?PoliticsYes$2063¢52¢-$3
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsNo$1375¢78¢+$0
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsYes$1290¢88¢-$0
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1085¢92¢+$1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$102.4¢2.4¢-$0
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$773¢93¢+$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$56.7¢8.6¢+$1
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$480¢91¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$42.5¢2.3¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$14K
Mentions+$247
Culture+$97
Olympics+$61
Crypto-$58
NFL-$22
Tech+$22
Boxing-$10
Finance-$10
Other+$4
Other sports-$4
NHL-$2
Biggest hit
+$2.4K
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$653
US government shutdown Saturday?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2501h ago
  • Bought No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$42h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$50514h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$12114h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$10115h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$2516h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$1816h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$1416h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$1017h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$2917h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?$15017h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25622h ago