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Erasmus.

Predicting since Jul 2024762 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $164K on Culture markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $457K across 9 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$389K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$212K74¢91¢+$46K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$67K90¢97¢+$4.6K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$22K83¢88¢+$1.3K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14K38¢12¢-$9.4K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6.6K12¢6.5¢-$3.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3.2K19¢19¢-$7
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K48¢44¢-$254
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K9.0¢4.8¢-$1.1K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$88K48¢0.7¢-$87K
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K91¢97¢+$66
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$10665¢26¢-$64
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$115¢14¢-$0
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?FinanceNoResolved$4.2K42¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$65627¢0.0¢-$656
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16718¢0.0¢-$167
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5161.2¢0.0¢-$516
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1218.5¢0.0¢-$121
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$92853¢0.0¢-$928
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K33¢0.0¢-$3.6K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$4.6K2.1¢0.0¢-$4.6K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20K62¢0.0¢-$20K
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$65640¢0.0¢-$656
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1967.8¢0.0¢-$196
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$62612¢0.0¢-$626
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$38K6.6¢0.0¢-$38K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$99060¢0.0¢-$990
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12K12¢0.0¢-$12K
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6158.8¢0.0¢-$615
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5.9K25¢0.0¢-$5.9K
Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?NFLYesResolved$15734¢0.0¢-$157
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?PoliticsYesResolved$2515.4¢0.0¢-$251
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30210¢0.0¢-$302
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$177K44¢0.0¢-$177K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$57128¢0.0¢-$571
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1164.5¢0.0¢-$116
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6291.6¢0.0¢-$629
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16K35¢0.0¢-$16K
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$36918¢0.0¢-$369
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K65¢0.0¢-$1.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2860.8¢0.0¢-$286
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K55¢0.0¢-$1.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$34K16¢0.0¢-$34K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17823¢0.0¢-$178
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9.7K49¢0.0¢-$9.7K
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$378K22¢0.0¢-$378K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.3K12¢0.0¢-$4.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5.6K34¢0.0¢-$5.6K
Will the government shutdown end November 12?PoliticsYesResolved$56K42¢0.0¢-$56K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$51K16¢0.0¢-$51K
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8.8K83¢0.0¢-$8.8K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$55K17¢0.0¢-$55K
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$79216¢0.0¢-$792
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$7.9K31¢0.0¢-$7.9K
US national XRP reserve in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$53713¢0.0¢-$537
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.5K41¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$4033.0¢0.0¢-$403

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$164K
Politics-$157K
UFC / MMA+$111K
Boxing+$26K
eSports+$22K
Tech+$15K
Other sports-$13K
Weather+$4.6K
Finance-$3.1K
NFL+$964
Economy-$534
Mentions+$363
Biggest hit
+$389K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.1M
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.4K3d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.7K9d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$16K10d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$410d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$210d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10K10d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$110d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$17810d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$110d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10K10d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$510d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$18K10d ago