← Whale Watch

0xc6628e0ca87e439Bba57294Dc8Fd7A503a7bB919-1772376149147

Predicting since Mar 2026493 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $3.9K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$2.7K86¢89¢+$90
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.1K78¢94¢+$414
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$2.2K76¢89¢+$356
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2K76¢81¢+$133
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.2K63¢59¢-$145
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.7K84¢87¢+$55
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K81¢90¢+$133
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.1K89¢93¢+$59
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$74974¢93¢+$192
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$50139¢52¢+$175
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsNo$59560¢66¢+$64
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$58273¢81¢+$64
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$54090¢96¢+$33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$68769¢53¢-$162
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$40438¢44¢+$56
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$36661¢74¢+$78
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$36072¢87¢+$73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$34569¢69¢+$2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$31590¢91¢+$4
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30494¢96¢+$8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$21973¢83¢+$31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$20613¢16¢+$40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$13545¢62¢+$51
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$14180¢97¢+$29
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?PoliticsYes$14472¢73¢+$1
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?PoliticsNo$10877¢78¢+$1
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsYes$11823¢20¢-$15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$1005.5¢4.8¢-$14
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsYes$1449.6¢4.8¢-$73
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsYes$2625¢31¢+$6
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$556.9¢3.3¢-$29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$325.3¢4.3¢-$6
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$309.0¢7.5¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$47047¢2.1¢-$449
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$454.7¢2.1¢-$25
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$419.0¢4.3¢-$21
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$208.0¢7.0¢-$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsNo$208.0¢6.5¢-$4
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$1588¢91¢+$0
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$543.0¢0.7¢-$42
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsNo$1292¢93¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$32435¢0.9¢-$316
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15214¢0.6¢-$146
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$26533¢0.7¢-$260
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$186.0¢1.5¢-$14
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?PoliticsYes$21.4¢1.9¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$29020¢0.1¢-$288
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$246.0¢0.5¢-$22
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2727¢2.1¢-$25
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?PoliticsNo$255¢73¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$15K
World Cup+$1.5K
Culture-$977
NBA+$185
Basketball (other)-$108
Tennis-$98
Weather-$75
Economy-$29
Tech-$14
Crypto+$2
Mentions+$1
Finance+$1
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$34525m ago
  • Bought No · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?$121h ago
  • Bought No · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$3231h ago
  • Bought No · IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?$1082h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$534h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$154h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$135h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$245h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$205h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$6965h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$235h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$76h ago