ARG-611

Predicting since Nov 2024277 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	No	$14	70¢	74¢	+$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics	No	$6	57¢	97¢	+$4
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics	No	$8	84¢	95¢	+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$8	77¢	92¢	+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics	No	$6	58¢	81¢	+$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$7	70¢	80¢	+$1
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy	Yes	$7	68¢	67¢	-$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	Yes	$6	60¢	57¢	-$0
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$4	70¢	89¢	+$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$4	44¢	44¢	-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$4	77¢	86¢	+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$4	80¢	80¢	-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics	No	$3	58¢	74¢	+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics	No	$2	48¢	71¢	+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$4	38¢	34¢	-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	Yes	$2	40¢	57¢	+$1
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?Politics	No	$1	37¢	95¢	+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	42¢	49¢	+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics	No	$1	28¢	43¢	+$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	23¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$14	72¢	0.0¢	-$14
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$3	60¢	0.0¢	-$3
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$7	71¢	0.0¢	-$7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$7	70¢	0.0¢	-$7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$9	85¢	0.0¢	-$9
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$3	6.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$9	85¢	0.0¢	-$9
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$52

Economy+$4

Tech+$3

Finance+$1

Weather-$1

Culture+$0

Cricket+$0

Crypto+$0

Biggest hit

+$6

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$9

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Recent moves

Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$456m ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$056m ago
Bought Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$31d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$41d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$31d ago
Sold No · Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$131d ago
Bought Yes · Netanyahu out by end of 2026?$42d ago
Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$42d ago
Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$62d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$28d ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$78d ago
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$39d ago