← Whale Watch

guyontheearth

Predicting since Jan 2025214 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1159¢99¢+$7
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next UK election be called by December 31?OtherYesResolved$207.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on November 6?CryptoYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? TechNoResolved$22421¢0.0¢-$224
Will Trump say "Chip" during Xi events on October 29?MentionsYesResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$749¢0.0¢-$7
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAWalkerResolved$5443¢0.0¢-$54
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$651¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Japan troop visit on October 28?MentionsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMABarriaultResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?MentionsYesResolved$570¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Beautiful Woman" during Japan troop visit on October 28?MentionsYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 England?World CupYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?EconomyYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?MentionsYesResolved$771¢0.0¢-$7
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Dumas vs. JohnsonUFC / MMADumasResolved$2825¢0.0¢-$28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2127¢0.0¢-$21
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$274.5¢0.0¢-$27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 7?CryptoYesResolved$201.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1211¢0.0¢-$12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3337¢0.0¢-$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7?CryptoYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?CryptoYesResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAlbaziResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$2265¢0.0¢-$22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down on June 28?CryptoUpResolved$384.0¢0.0¢-$38
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin VacherotTennisNorrieResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$506.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?Soccer (other)YesResolved$380¢0.0¢-$3
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1448¢0.0¢-$14
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Trail Blazers vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)eSportsAnyones LegendResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?CryptoYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of XRP be above $2.90 on November 6?CryptoYesResolved$58.6¢0.0¢-$5
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAOliveiraResolved$4545¢0.0¢-$45
Will Trump say "Kim Jong-Un" during Japan troop visit on October 28?MentionsYesResolved$450¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?MentionsYesResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$3548¢0.0¢-$35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?MentionsYesResolved$1027¢0.0¢-$10
Megaquake by December 31?WeatherYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11113¢0.0¢-$111
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?CryptoYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$57.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on November 7?CryptoYesResolved$103.6¢0.0¢-$10
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1751¢0.0¢-$17
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?WeatherYesResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1069¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?MentionsNoResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
Starmer out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$2032¢0.0¢-$20
Vieira vs. DumontUFC / MMAVieiraResolved$2058¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)NFLBroncosResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$197.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Solana reach $350 in October?CryptoYesResolved$102.8¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$385
Tech-$224
UFC / MMA-$166
Crypto-$164
World Cup-$115
Mentions-$49
NFL+$31
Weather-$30
Economy-$27
Formula 1-$20
Premier League-$20
Other-$20
Biggest hit
+$80
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Toughest beat
-$75
US strikes Iran by October 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1127d ago
  • Bought Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?$20027d ago
  • Bought Up · XRP Up or Down on June 28?$928d ago
  • Bought Up · XRP Up or Down on June 28?$1128d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$028d ago
  • Bought Up · XRP Up or Down on June 28?$1028d ago
  • Bought Up · XRP Up or Down on June 28?$1128d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$2028d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$1528d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$2028d ago
  • Bought Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals AND Portugal leading at halftime? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$2528d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 England?$528d ago