← Whale Watch

projectparrot

Predicting since Jun 20251,752 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.8K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on US government shutdown Saturday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?TechNoResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$663.9¢0.0¢-$66
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$201.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4329¢0.0¢-$43
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$42.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$322¢0.0¢-$3
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$133.5¢0.0¢-$13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2974¢0.0¢-$29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$292.5¢0.0¢-$29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$22143¢0.0¢-$221
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2719¢0.0¢-$27
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?TechYesResolved$101.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$042¢0.0¢-$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1366¢0.0¢-$13
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$34.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1517¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?PoliticsYesResolved$3756¢0.0¢-$37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$83.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNoResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?CultureNoResolved$15.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?PoliticsNoResolved$60.6¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24127¢0.0¢-$241
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2745¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$73.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$80.8¢0.0¢-$8
Named storm forms before hurricane season?WeatherYesResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?PoliticsNoResolved$474¢0.0¢-$4
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.7¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$289.5¢0.0¢-$28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$48360¢0.0¢-$483
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$47.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?TechNoResolved$1317¢0.0¢-$13
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?PoliticsYesResolved$100.8¢0.0¢-$10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNoResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7416¢0.0¢-$74
Miguel/Sesko vs. Ogunsakin/Raguin: Match O/U 23.5TennisOverResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?PoliticsYesResolved$10057¢0.0¢-$100
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Kash Patel out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
Weed rescheduled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$19643¢0.0¢-$196
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1394.8¢0.0¢-$139
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?PoliticsNoResolved$2944¢0.0¢-$29
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$503.6¢0.0¢-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3187¢0.0¢-$31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$825¢0.0¢-$8
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$290.8¢0.0¢-$29
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?TechYesResolved$68.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$210.9¢0.0¢-$21
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$821¢0.0¢-$8
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?TechYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?PoliticsYesResolved$480¢0.0¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?PoliticsYesResolved$1325¢0.0¢-$13
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?PoliticsYesResolved$71.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 23?FinanceYesResolved$613¢0.0¢-$6
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Garrett Mason win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$616¢0.0¢-$6
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?PoliticsNoResolved$176.6¢0.0¢-$17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$93.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?CultureYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?PoliticsYesResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2529¢0.0¢-$25
Kash Patel out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1334¢0.0¢-$13
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6422¢0.0¢-$64
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$29.3¢0.0¢-$2
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$6231¢0.0¢-$62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$753¢0.0¢-$7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$29.6¢0.0¢-$2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?TechYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?PoliticsYesResolved$303.1¢0.0¢-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.8K
Mentions+$657
Economy-$528
Crypto+$240
Tech-$136
Weather-$107
Finance-$79
Culture+$78
Tennis-$18
UFC / MMA+$0
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
US government shutdown Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$486
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$03d ago