 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$117 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$109 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$45 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $253 | 35¢ | 20¢ | -$110 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
 Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$34 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $159 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$159 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $300 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $115 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?Finance | UpResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Culture | NoResolved | $100 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
| Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $60 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $200 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 19?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Finance | YesResolved | $100 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $170 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $400 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |