← Whale Watch

LiquidatedDegen

Predicting since Oct 20253,743 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $98K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $14K riding on Brazil Presidential Election.

Biggest hit: +$36K on Will the government shutdown end November 13?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$14K60¢63¢+$582
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$9.2K72¢83¢+$1.3K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.9K16¢56¢+$4.7K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.2K8.9¢16¢+$2.4K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$4.0K29¢38¢+$1.2K
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$4.8K30¢27¢-$418
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K37¢46¢+$582
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$2.5K4.3¢4.2¢-$64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$2.1K27¢28¢+$13
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$2.6K7.3¢5.0¢-$828
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$62816¢37¢+$808
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.5K23¢21¢-$152
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?MLBYes$1.1K47¢48¢+$23
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.6K3.4¢2.4¢-$473
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$7792.0¢2.9¢+$318
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?MLBYes$1.5K44¢33¢-$371
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBYes$1.1K52¢45¢-$152
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$75241¢44¢+$46
San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsMLBSan Diego Padres$13518¢100¢+$615
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$6995.6¢5.7¢+$4
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$7174.9¢4.7¢-$36
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$7063.2¢2.8¢-$101
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$80410¢7.3¢-$229
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersMLBSeattle Mariners$19530¢81¢+$328
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$50064¢63¢-$11
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$4523.4¢3.4¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1505.0¢8.5¢+$105
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBYes$10115¢35¢+$128
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$2081.7¢1.7¢-$7
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1841.2¢1.1¢-$8
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1650.7¢0.4¢-$59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsMLBChicago Cubs$7650¢52¢+$3
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title?MLBYes$359.4¢7.2¢-$8
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$2846.2¢0.4¢-$268
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?MLBYes$1516.6¢0.5¢-$140
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?MLBYes$1818¢3.5¢-$15
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?MLBYes$31.8¢1.8¢-$0
Will Jose Ramirez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLBYes$31.2¢1.1¢-$1
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State WolfpackBasketball (other)Virginia Tech HokiesResolved$75018¢0.0¢-$750
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$30019¢0.0¢-$300
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$25053¢0.0¢-$250
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston AstrosMLBMinnesota TwinsResolved$15052¢0.0¢-$150
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5MLBOverResolved$20051¢0.0¢-$200
Spread: Heat (-7.5)NBAHeatResolved$50050¢0.0¢-$500
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsMLBAtlanta BravesResolved$20049¢0.0¢-$200
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysMLBLos Angeles AngelsResolved$15038¢0.0¢-$150
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsMLBNew York MetsResolved$15042¢0.0¢-$150
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota TwinsMLBMinnesota TwinsResolved$10827¢0.0¢-$108
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)College HoopsOhio State BuckeyesResolved$34851¢0.0¢-$348
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Soccer (other)Nottingham Forest FCResolved$1007.0¢0.0¢-$100
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)UFC / MMADaniel SantosResolved$20061¢0.0¢-$200
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5NBAUnderResolved$50050¢0.0¢-$500
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$10220¢0.0¢-$102
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxMLBNew York YankeesResolved$25534¢0.0¢-$255
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsMLBCincinnati RedsResolved$20046¢0.0¢-$200
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$1417¢0.0¢-$14
Spread: Lions (-7.5)NFLLionsResolved$75051¢0.0¢-$750
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?La LigaYesResolved$1.1K24¢0.0¢-$1.1K
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAPatricio PitbullResolved$9830¢0.0¢-$98
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$14620¢0.0¢-$146
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$489.5¢0.0¢-$48
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5NBAOverResolved$100047¢0.0¢-$1000
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon NakashimaTennisBrandon NakashimaResolved$17119¢0.0¢-$171
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5MLBOverResolved$20055¢0.0¢-$200
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary SvajdaTennisZachary SvajdaResolved$7519¢0.0¢-$75
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City RoyalsMLBBaltimore OriolesResolved$9827¢0.0¢-$98
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)MLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$15047¢0.0¢-$150
Blackhawks vs. Golden KnightsNHLBlackhawksResolved$35030¢0.0¢-$350
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$15018¢0.0¢-$150
Devils vs. StarsNHLStarsResolved$80024¢0.0¢-$800
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)NBARaptorsResolved$1.0K46¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMLBSeattle MarinersResolved$15049¢0.0¢-$150
Athletics vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York YankeesResolved$9721¢0.0¢-$97
Boston Red Sox vs. New York MetsMLBNew York MetsResolved$25047¢0.0¢-$250
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesNBAGrizzliesResolved$40018¢0.0¢-$400
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesMLBAtlanta BravesResolved$13518¢0.0¢-$135
Dayton Flyers vs. Marquette Golden EaglesBasketball (other)Marquette Golden EaglesResolved$25069¢0.0¢-$250
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesMLBSan Diego PadresResolved$10043¢0.0¢-$100
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05?Soccer (other)YesResolved$35033¢0.0¢-$350
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$9710.0¢0.0¢-$97
Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesNBATimberwolvesResolved$50037¢0.0¢-$500
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)NBACelticsResolved$75054¢0.0¢-$750
Hurricanes vs. PanthersNHLHurricanesResolved$75056¢0.0¢-$750
Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5NHLOverResolved$75048¢0.0¢-$750
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosMLBLos Angeles AngelsResolved$506.9¢0.0¢-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesMLBPhiladelphia PhilliesResolved$497.0¢0.0¢-$49
Will France win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$15051¢0.0¢-$150
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$35053¢0.0¢-$350
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$34329¢0.0¢-$343
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$12542¢0.0¢-$125
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio CobolliTennisCamilo Ugo CarabelliResolved$494.1¢0.0¢-$49
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)NBARaptorsResolved$75053¢0.0¢-$750
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersMLBTexas RangersResolved$2709.0¢0.0¢-$270
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$258.0¢0.0¢-$25
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)Basketball (other)VCU RamsResolved$24953¢0.0¢-$249
76ers vs. WizardsNBAWizardsResolved$24527¢0.0¢-$245
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceTennisMartin LandaluceResolved$25029¢0.0¢-$250
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsMLBNew York YankeesResolved$25053¢0.0¢-$250
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami MarlinsMLBChicago White SoxResolved$19742¢0.0¢-$197
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami MarlinsMLBMiami MarlinsResolved$978.0¢0.0¢-$97

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$98K
NHL+$83K
NBA+$66K
Basketball (other)+$37K
MLB+$30K
Premier League+$27K
NFL+$25K
Other sports+$16K
Soccer (other)+$12K
Champions League+$11K
Formula 1-$6.6K
Crypto-$6.4K
Biggest hit
+$36K
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Toughest beat
-$7.7K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Over · Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$45621m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?$040m ago
  • Bought Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$20241m ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$451h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$11h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$01h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$01h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$11h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$21h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$641h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1.8K1h ago
  • Bought San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$831h ago