← Whale Watch

betwick

Predicting since Apr 2025651 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $173K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $152K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

Biggest hit: +$140K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$63K72¢88¢+$13K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$26K52¢73¢+$10K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$23K69¢98¢+$9.7K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$18K77¢99¢+$5.0K
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$23K51¢17¢-$16K
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$173.3¢0.0¢-$17
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3.5K40¢0.0¢-$3.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11K5.0¢0.0¢-$11K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$20114¢0.0¢-$201
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$12312¢0.0¢-$123
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$152K13¢0.0¢-$152K
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K24¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?CultureYesResolved$2029¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K0.7¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$7.2K20¢0.0¢-$7.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$17K12¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?World CupNoResolved$3.3K33¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$73K22¢0.0¢-$73K
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K15¢0.0¢-$3.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30K8.8¢0.0¢-$30K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$58K22¢0.0¢-$58K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$173K
Culture+$169K
Crypto+$99K
Tech+$72K
Mentions+$38K
Finance+$26K
Boxing+$14K
Economy+$9.2K
Golf+$6.8K
Other+$6.6K
World Cup+$1.8K
Cricket-$1.7K
Biggest hit
+$140K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$101K
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$44K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$131d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$3.8K1d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$41d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$3761d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1411d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11d ago