 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $46 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$4 |
 Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 67¢ | -$9 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $38 | 77¢ | 64¢ | -$6 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | Yes | $35 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Economy | No | $43 | 85¢ | 62¢ | -$11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $37 | 74¢ | 62¢ | -$6 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | No | $39 | 79¢ | 61¢ | -$9 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $36 | 71¢ | 45¢ | -$13 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31?Politics | No | $30 | 67¢ | 50¢ | -$8 |
 Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $29 | 84¢ | 62¢ | -$8 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $29 | 58¢ | 38¢ | -$10 |
 Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | No | $27 | 54¢ | 38¢ | -$8 |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 87¢ | 52¢ | -$11 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $22 | 43¢ | 29¢ | -$7 |
 Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 44¢ | 28¢ | -$8 |
 Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $30 | 59¢ | 26¢ | -$17 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 48¢ | 25¢ | -$12 |
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $14 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $19 | 38¢ | 21¢ | -$9 |
 Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 46¢ | 20¢ | -$13 |
 Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | Yes | $20 | 40¢ | 18¢ | -$11 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $12 | 40¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $14 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 67¢ | 23¢ | -$13 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 33¢ | 13¢ | -$10 |
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 23¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Economy | Yes | $21 | 41¢ | 9.5¢ | -$16 |
 Jonathan Majors as Kang?Culture | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 8.7¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 8.1¢ | -$2 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $14 | 47¢ | 12¢ | -$11 |
 Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSports | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?Economy | Yes | $20 | 39¢ | 6.5¢ | -$16 |
 Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 12¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 9.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 5.9¢ | 4.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 5.7¢ | 4.9¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 5.6¢ | 4.8¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 5.7¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 27?Weather | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $2 | 4.5¢ | 3.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 9.4¢ | -$1 |
 Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.7¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
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