 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C or below on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $27 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on July 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $400 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-14?Champions League | NoResolved | $9 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Team Secret Whales win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or below on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $27 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $27 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 112°F or higher on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Deep Cross Gaming win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will SD Raiders FC win on 2026-07-14?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be 106°F or higher on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 175 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $228 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$124d ago
Sold No · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$524d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$21mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$01mo ago
Bought No · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$01mo ago