 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$1.0K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $2.9K | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$499 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.9K | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$426 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $1.9K | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$129 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$39 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $919 | 51¢ | 45¢ | -$109 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $543 | 52¢ | 77¢ | +$261 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $568 | 48¢ | 56¢ | +$104 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 27¢ | 16¢ | -$444 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $577 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$94 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $385 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$83 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $282 | 16¢ | 19¢ | +$44 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $308 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 32¢ | 6.7¢ | -$956 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $461 | 44¢ | 23¢ | -$220 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $451 | 20¢ | 8.0¢ | -$274 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $45 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $115 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$83 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$5 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 0.8¢ | 1.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 66¢ | 37¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $35 | 23¢ | 2.4¢ | -$31 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 31¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Crypto | YesResolved | $14 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $41 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Politics | NoResolved | $34 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $83 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | YesResolved | $29 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $213 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$213 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $8 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | SomethingResolved | $1.1K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?Politics | NoResolved | $217 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$217 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $175 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $630 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$630 |
 Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $33 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 14?Finance | UpResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $36 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $61 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JunePolitics | SomethingResolved | $51 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $77 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | NoResolved | $256 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$256 |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $255 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$255 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $158 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |