← Whale Watch

0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f5621493829ahdfc

Predicting since Apr 2026253 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.5K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $1.9K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.9K76¢83¢+$191
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$89380¢94¢+$151
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$42146¢67¢+$187
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsSomething$55321¢17¢-$104
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$38577¢88¢+$53
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$46551¢31¢-$181
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$26465¢65¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$27622¢13¢-$120
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$11523¢14¢-$43
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$6734¢34¢+$1
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechAnthropic$4580¢89¢+$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$4378¢90¢+$6
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3797¢59¢-$14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$150.9¢1.4¢+$7
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$3523¢14¢-$14
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$129.3¢9.8¢+$1
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1366¢34¢-$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$55.5¢8.0¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$1322¢12¢-$6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?FinanceYes$1616¢5.1¢-$11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$6929¢1.1¢-$66
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$417¢7.5¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceYes$11.5¢1.3¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$110¢11¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$142.9¢0.0¢-$14
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$413.6¢0.0¢-$41
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$104.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$173.3¢0.0¢-$17
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?TechNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?TechNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$80.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?TechYesResolved$100.3¢0.0¢-$10
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$2733¢0.0¢-$27
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of July 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$85.6¢0.0¢-$8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$635.0¢0.0¢-$63
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?PoliticsNoResolved$21713¢0.0¢-$217
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?TechYesResolved$17532¢0.0¢-$175
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$63027¢0.0¢-$630
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$330.3¢0.0¢-$33
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 14?FinanceUpResolved$41.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$367.4¢0.0¢-$36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6134¢0.0¢-$61
Nothing Ever Happens: JunePoliticsSomethingResolved$5112¢0.0¢-$51
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$173.4¢0.0¢-$17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1924¢0.0¢-$19
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$49.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?PoliticsNoResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$25531¢0.0¢-$255
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$66.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$157.0¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.5K
Tech+$994
Finance+$99
World Cup-$39
Crypto-$14
Economy-$11
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.8K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$851h ago
  • Bought Something · Nothing Ever Happens: July$151h ago
  • Bought No · Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$21h ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$41h ago
  • Bought No · Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$482h ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$922h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?$12h ago
  • Sold No · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$4549h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2511h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$101d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$81d ago
  • Bought Something · Nothing Ever Happens: July$21d ago