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StevAplaty

Predicting since Nov 2025846 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$9875¢80¢+$5
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1212¢31¢+$19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2264¢88¢+$8
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$1748¢69¢+$8
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$2289¢95¢+$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$1756¢79¢+$7
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsNo$1681¢95¢+$3
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1577¢94¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$1655¢63¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1785¢85¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1365¢83¢+$4
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?PoliticsYes$632¢73¢+$8
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$1033¢46¢+$4
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$1636¢30¢-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1155¢65¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1784¢59¢-$5
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1068¢76¢+$1
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$86.8¢8.9¢+$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$841¢46¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1030¢18¢-$4
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$733¢27¢-$1
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$109.5¢3.4¢-$6
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$36.0¢5.5¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$130
Crypto-$42
Economy+$38
Culture+$19
Mentions-$17
Weather+$5
World Cup-$4
Tech+$2
Hockey (other)-$1
Boxing-$0
Biggest hit
+$58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Toughest beat
-$58
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$133h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$233h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1813h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1613h ago
  • Sold No · Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1915h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$518h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$418h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$819h ago
  • Sold No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$1519h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$71d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$21d ago