pedrouan

Predicting since Jul 202453 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$5	13¢	45¢	+$12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	28¢	0.0¢	-$10
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	15¢	0.0¢	-$3
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$20	32¢	0.0¢	-$20
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Tucker Carlson federally charged?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	48¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	17¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	19¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	11¢	0.0¢	-$3
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics	YesResolved	$5	12¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	17¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	6.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$3	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	54¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$22	12¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Politics	NoResolved	$3	9.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Kash Patel out by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$3	11¢	0.0¢	-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	34¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$38

Tech+$9

Mentions-$6

Biggest hit

+$26

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$4

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$024d ago
Sold Yes · Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$024d ago
Sold Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$61mo ago
Sold Yes · Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$271mo ago
Sold Down · SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$121mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$21mo ago
Bought No · Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$21mo ago
Bought Down · SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$51mo ago
Bought No · Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$21mo ago