← Whale Watch

James000

Predicting since Oct 202457 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $203K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $160K riding on US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?.

Biggest hit: +$22K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$22K84¢84¢-$132
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$963¢99¢+$5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$160K83¢0.0¢-$160K
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$13222¢0.0¢-$132
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.1¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$723.6¢0.0¢-$72
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$4000.2¢0.0¢-$400
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$800.8¢0.0¢-$80
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3570.3¢0.0¢-$357
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$36661¢0.0¢-$366
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsYesResolved$36737¢0.0¢-$367
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$79K84¢0.0¢-$79K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K0.5¢0.0¢-$1.0K
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$4.6K7.0¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$166¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$2500.5¢0.0¢-$250

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$203K
Mentions+$648
Biggest hit
+$22K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$15K
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$7.8K1h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5092h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.7K2h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$52h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.6K2h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$9.5K2h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$22K2h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.6K14d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$16K14d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$18K24d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$124d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$51mo ago