James000

Predicting since Oct 202460 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $223K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $160K riding on US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?.

Biggest hit: +$22K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	10¢	1.4¢	-$1.1K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2.0K	25¢	0.0¢	-$2.0K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$160K	83¢	0.0¢	-$160K
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$132	22¢	0.0¢	-$132
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$100	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$72	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$72
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$400	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$400
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$80	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$80
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$357	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$357
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$366	61¢	0.0¢	-$366
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics	YesResolved	$367	37¢	0.0¢	-$367
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$79K	84¢	0.0¢	-$79K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1.0K	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$4.6K	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$4.6K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	66¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$250	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$250

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$223K

Mentions+$648

Biggest hit

+$22K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Toughest beat

-$21K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.3K10d ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$1.0K1mo ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$3171mo ago
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$17K1mo ago
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$5.7K1mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$22K1mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$141mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.1K1mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.1K1mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$7.8K1mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5091mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.7K1mo ago