 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $2.5K | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$477 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.3K | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$254 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$339 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 63¢ | 80¢ | +$313 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $1.5K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$58 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $855 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$74 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 82¢ | 64¢ | -$251 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $673 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$160 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $628 | 76¢ | 97¢ | +$175 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $707 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$51 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $752 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $830 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$75 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $602 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$59 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $654 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $609 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$39 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $392 | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$169 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $484 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $460 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $423 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $418 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $439 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$26 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $410 | 82¢ | 77¢ | -$28 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $372 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $284 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$76 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $340 | 68¢ | 67¢ | -$5 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $267 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$16 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $138 | 55¢ | 95¢ | +$99 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $219 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $570 | 19¢ | 7.2¢ | -$353 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 62¢ | 37¢ | -$75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $315 | 63¢ | 21¢ | -$213 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $137 | 23¢ | 15¢ | -$47 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | No | $295 | 59¢ | 15¢ | -$218 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $69 | 13¢ | 4.2¢ | -$47 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $66 | 66¢ | 21¢ | -$46 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $7 | 11¢ | 20¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $161 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$161 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Conor McGregorResolved | $33 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $122 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Politics | NoResolved | $160 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $528 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$528 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Crypto | YesResolved | $90 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
