← Whale Watch

Aragorn-II

Predicting since Jan 2025925 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.6K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $2.5K riding on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.5K78¢92¢+$445
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K99¢100¢+$17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K74¢81¢+$136
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K69¢87¢+$320
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K92¢93¢+$11
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$83776¢93¢+$181
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$85579¢80¢+$9
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$77897¢99¢+$17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75294¢99¢+$42
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$85761¢56¢-$66
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$67375¢88¢+$115
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$60286¢91¢+$31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$60987¢88¢+$4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$39265¢89¢+$139
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$41884¢79¢-$23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$57019¢13¢-$194
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$35689¢88¢-$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$29874¢82¢+$30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$28394¢93¢-$3
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$13855¢90¢+$88
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$6913¢8.5¢-$24
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsYes$5757¢40¢-$17
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$1584¢87¢+$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$885¢96¢+$1
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$548¢50¢+$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5858¢0.0¢-$58
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$3333¢0.0¢-$33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12261¢0.0¢-$122
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$16085¢0.0¢-$160
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$52888¢0.0¢-$528
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$7.6K
Culture+$1.3K
UFC / MMA+$706
Crypto+$285
NFL+$184
Mentions+$171
Other sports+$145
Weather+$139
Hockey (other)-$138
College Hoops+$113
Tech-$73
Economy-$24
Biggest hit
+$975
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Toughest beat
-$665
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$1.0K1d ago
  • Cashed out Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2006d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4556d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$816d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5526d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$66d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$57d ago
  • Bought Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1197d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$9007d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$10010d ago