← Whale Watch

ftmerchant

Predicting since Jun 2025107 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Crypto markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.5K across 2 Crypto markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?TechYesResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?BundesligaNoResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
1,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?TechNoResolved$7218¢0.0¢-$72
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$7047¢0.0¢-$70
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$1.4K29¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?CultureYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2621¢0.0¢-$26
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$22082¢0.0¢-$220
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5016¢0.0¢-$50
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5918¢0.0¢-$59
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$7248¢0.0¢-$72
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionPoliticsNoResolved$4116¢0.0¢-$41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?EconomyYesResolved$917¢0.0¢-$9
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? NBANoResolved$610.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?PoliticsNoResolved$3043¢0.0¢-$30
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?PoliticsNoResolved$14975¢0.0¢-$149
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?MentionsNoResolved$324¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?TechNoResolved$919¢0.0¢-$9
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$1858¢0.0¢-$18
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?EconomyNoResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$11334¢0.0¢-$113
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?EconomyYesResolved$3315¢0.0¢-$33
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3734¢0.0¢-$37
Trump approval Up or Down this week?PoliticsDownResolved$7151¢0.0¢-$71
Will a hurricane form by September 30?WeatherNoResolved$8230¢0.0¢-$82
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7721¢0.0¢-$77
Cardano ETF in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$4981¢0.0¢-$49
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoNoResolved$7813¢0.0¢-$78
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?CultureNoResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$16652¢0.0¢-$166
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?PoliticsYesResolved$2618¢0.0¢-$26
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?WeatherNoResolved$2624¢0.0¢-$26
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?PoliticsYesResolved$2116¢0.0¢-$21
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?CultureYesResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$9679¢0.0¢-$96
Spain snap election called in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1218¢0.0¢-$12
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$6232¢0.0¢-$62
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?EconomyYesResolved$7023¢0.0¢-$70
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?EconomyYesResolved$834¢0.0¢-$8
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$6526¢0.0¢-$65
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?TechNoResolved$2031¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?TechNoResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?MentionsNoResolved$3141¢0.0¢-$31
Will ANO get between 27% and 30% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$15872¢0.0¢-$158
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?PoliticsNoResolved$7325¢0.0¢-$73
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$8130¢0.0¢-$81
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$2850¢0.0¢-$28
Will Coinbase US perps offer more than 10x leverage?CryptoYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$1.6K
Politics-$473
Tech-$274
Economy-$157
Culture-$118
Mentions-$25
Bundesliga-$10
Weather-$9
NBA-$6
Biggest hit
+$143
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$101
Yoon arrested by July 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$165mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1625mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$295mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$305mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$405mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?$455mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$605mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$655mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?$655mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$765mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?$1405mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$1505mo ago