← Whale Watch

0xca3E18433673840A94b0376604068cf2e65CC9FF-1767540204047

Predicting since Jan 2026104 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$3045¢83¢+$25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$3064¢64¢-$0
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?TechYes$1035¢85¢+$14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?TechNo$2079¢83¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2082¢79¢-$1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechNo$527¢72¢+$9
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?TechYes$528¢11¢-$3
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers QualifierseSportsParis Gentle MatesResolved$1066¢0.0¢-$10
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?TechYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$48.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?CultureYesResolved$35.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?TechYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2056¢0.0¢-$20
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$2584¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4038¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3846¢0.0¢-$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?TechNoResolved$23.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?World CupYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2947¢0.0¢-$29
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$3074¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2041¢0.0¢-$20
AWS service disrupted by June 30?TechYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?CultureYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$1555¢0.0¢-$15
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2573¢0.0¢-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffseSportsKarmine CorpResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$341
Crypto-$115
Culture-$45
Boxing-$20
eSports-$15
Finance+$12
Mentions-$5
Economy+$4
World Cup-$2
Politics-$2
Biggest hit
+$168
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Toughest beat
-$50
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?$222d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$523d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$3023d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2023d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?$223d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$223d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4025d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2325d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$7725d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$4725d ago
  • Bought Yes · AWS service disrupted by June 30?$31mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?$201mo ago