← Whale Watch

delphilo

Predicting since Oct 2024522 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.8K on Tech markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.0K across 7 Finance markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$50853¢89¢+$347
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$63479¢97¢+$144
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechYes$40075¢67¢-$44
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?TechYes$16368¢69¢+$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$13886¢99¢+$21
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoYes$14582¢64¢-$32
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$4949¢80¢+$31
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$6048¢51¢+$3
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$4990¢98¢+$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4918¢17¢-$1
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsYes$9626¢11¢-$54
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$2710¢14¢+$11
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$133.9¢5.1¢+$4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$44.0¢16¢+$12
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$91.6¢2.4¢+$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$81.1¢1.1¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$4650¢8.5¢-$38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$103.0¢2.4¢-$2
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3715¢2.6¢-$30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$660¢57¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$226.9¢1.3¢-$18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$230.4¢0.1¢-$20
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$62.0¢0.9¢-$3
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$102.1¢0.4¢-$8
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$24.0¢3.0¢-$0
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?TechNoResolved$10432¢0.0¢-$104
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2010¢0.0¢-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?FinanceYesResolved$5956¢0.0¢-$59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$70.6¢0.0¢-$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?FinanceYesResolved$9241¢0.0¢-$92
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$1276.7¢0.0¢-$127
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?EconomyNoResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$49145¢0.0¢-$491
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$1614¢0.0¢-$16
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$127.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?FinanceYesResolved$9975¢0.0¢-$99
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$6918¢0.0¢-$69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?FinanceNoResolved$10938¢0.0¢-$109
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$205.1¢0.0¢-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$6665¢0.0¢-$66
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$51.4¢0.0¢-$5
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?FinanceNoResolved$1.2K78¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$62.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$1058¢0.0¢-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$732¢0.0¢-$7
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$335.7¢0.0¢-$33
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3877¢0.0¢-$38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$26.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$3848¢0.0¢-$38
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$191.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$2918¢0.0¢-$29
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$252.9¢0.0¢-$25
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$18361¢0.0¢-$183
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?TechNoResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?FinanceYesResolved$39237¢0.0¢-$392
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$103.0¢0.0¢-$10
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$3824¢0.0¢-$38
Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?TechYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$6210¢0.0¢-$62
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1127¢0.0¢-$11
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?TechNoResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?FinanceNoResolved$4147¢0.0¢-$41
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?TechNoResolved$5068¢0.0¢-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?FinanceNoResolved$8729¢0.0¢-$87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$12670¢0.0¢-$126
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$132.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechNoResolved$6870¢0.0¢-$68
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21663¢0.0¢-$216
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?FinanceYesResolved$12067¢0.0¢-$120
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$333.4¢0.0¢-$33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$5826¢0.0¢-$58
Iran leadership change by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2335¢0.0¢-$23

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$7.8K
Politics+$3.1K
Finance-$2.0K
Culture-$394
Economy+$302
World Cup-$107
Mentions-$61
Other sports+$43
Crypto+$22
NBA-$5
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$893
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$133d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2065d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$012d ago
  • Bought Yes · AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$3414d ago