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thinkingmansgame

Predicting since Sep 2025842 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $20K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $2.8K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$7.1K on Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$84424¢93¢+$2.4K
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$2.6K26¢27¢+$112
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1.8K80¢83¢+$54
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1.1K71¢100¢+$426
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K36¢33¢-$172
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K57¢56¢-$12
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$96797¢100¢+$33
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$1.0K85¢67¢-$224
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$57057¢59¢+$20
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$33784¢81¢-$9
Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$22798¢96¢-$4
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$23921¢19¢-$21
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$13956¢80¢+$58
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$15962¢64¢+$5
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$14687¢91¢+$7
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1461.5¢1.4¢-$6
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$17535¢27¢-$40
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$9090¢96¢+$5
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsYes$91254¢4.0¢-$845
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$454.3¢4.5¢+$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8316¢8.9¢-$37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$2024.0¢0.8¢-$162
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$1608.0¢1.8¢-$123
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsYes$2051¢49¢-$1
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$203.9¢3.8¢-$1
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$166.3¢6.8¢+$1
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$189.0¢7.5¢-$3
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$124.1¢3.9¢-$1
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?PoliticsYes$28040¢1.3¢-$272
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$73.5¢3.4¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$841.9¢0.1¢-$77

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$20K
NFL-$7.9K
NBA-$6.8K
MLB+$5.3K
College Hoops-$2.8K
World Cup+$2.6K
Culture-$1.6K
Other sports-$1.6K
Basketball (other)-$1.1K
Tennis+$824
Crypto-$686
NHL+$353
Biggest hit
+$7.1K
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Toughest beat
-$3.9K
Wizards vs. Mavericks

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$588h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$248h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$14111h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$4715h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.0K19h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$2820h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$2420h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$820h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$391d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$411d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$411d ago