← Whale Watch

traeze

Predicting since Dec 2024126 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.0K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $1.8K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$200.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$5016¢0.0¢-$50
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$315.8¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$161.9¢0.0¢-$16
Heat vs. TimberwolvesNBAHeatResolved$1421.0¢0.0¢-$142
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$203.7¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$161.0¢0.0¢-$16
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$38416¢0.0¢-$384
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Kings vs. WarriorsNBAKingsResolved$1380.7¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$463.7¢0.0¢-$46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$433.5¢0.0¢-$43
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$300.2¢0.0¢-$30
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5929¢0.0¢-$59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$120.8¢0.0¢-$12
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?PoliticsNoResolved$5354.1¢0.0¢-$535
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K5.2¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$912¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.9¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$17020¢0.0¢-$170
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$70.6¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$49019¢0.0¢-$490
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$90718¢0.0¢-$907
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$963.3¢0.0¢-$96
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 20–27?PoliticsYesResolved$71.9¢0.0¢-$7
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1096.6¢0.0¢-$109
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$300.4¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$152.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$782.0¢0.0¢-$78
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$251.8¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$54428¢0.0¢-$544
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?Other sportsYesResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 11–18?PoliticsYesResolved$101.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$17015¢0.0¢-$170
Bulls vs. RocketsNBABullsResolved$14419¢0.0¢-$144
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$15023¢0.0¢-$150
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?CryptoNoResolved$5027¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$331.1¢0.0¢-$33
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2391.2¢0.0¢-$239
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)NoResolved$6610¢0.0¢-$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$804.9¢0.0¢-$80
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?CryptoNoResolved$456.0¢0.0¢-$45
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$251.6¢0.0¢-$25
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? CultureYesResolved$350.5¢0.0¢-$35
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?CryptoNoResolved$4098.2¢0.0¢-$409
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$31824¢0.0¢-$318
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$8213¢0.0¢-$82
Raptors vs. CelticsNBARaptorsResolved$247.0¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$822¢0.0¢-$8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$390.3¢0.0¢-$39
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$980.2¢0.0¢-$98

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$7.0K
Soccer (other)+$696
Crypto-$669
NBA+$388
Other sports-$100
Culture-$35
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
Toughest beat
-$1.8K
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$573mo ago
  • Sold No · Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1523mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$04mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$04mo ago
  • Bought No · Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$9974mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$304mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$304mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$55mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$215mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$325mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$8365mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$85mo ago