← Whale Watch

the-260-Challenge

Predicting since Jul 20262,295 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?WeatherNo$4794¢86¢-$4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3485¢87¢+$1
Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05?PoliticsNo$3690¢65¢-$10
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?OtherYes$2347¢35¢-$6
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1844¢27¢-$7
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $9.5B and $11B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$1010¢3.9¢-$6
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechNo$714¢4.7¢-$5
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsYes$36.8¢4.5¢-$1
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$47.9¢3.8¢-$2
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$815¢3.6¢-$6
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsYes$59.0¢3.5¢-$3
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?PoliticsNo$510¢3.5¢-$3
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$47.0¢3.2¢-$2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?CultureYes$05.0¢13¢+$1
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?WeatherYes$419¢5.2¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of July 20 2026?FinanceYesResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Who will win the gold medal in Dave Mirra BMX Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNoResolved$1261¢0.0¢-$12
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?TechNoResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 24?WeatherYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$188
Weather-$166
Finance-$74
Tech-$58
Crypto-$25
MLB-$17
Economy-$14
Mentions-$13
Other sports-$12
Culture-$9
NFL-$8
World Cup-$6
Biggest hit
+$13
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 9?
Toughest beat
-$10
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$341m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will MrBeast say "Dream" during his next gaming YouTube video?$211m ago
  • Sold Yes · Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?$311m ago
  • Sold No · Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1312m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?$712m ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?$3212m ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?$3212m ago
  • Sold No · Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 27?$613m ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 27?$613m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$118m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$122m ago
  • Bought No · Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?$823m ago